thomyorke-802
0x02fc81db41ced07d14c270f9174f3823c208ddc6
- Realised P&L
- $-521.04
- Volume
- $131.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,236
- Open portfolio
- $104.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,236
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.23at 0.716Angels vs. Yankees
- +$15.37at 0.562Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?
- +$11.93at 0.430Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$9.67at 0.610Orioles vs. Yankees
- +$8.31at 0.867Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 19:28 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1268330733 | $3.25 |
| 08-03 19:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9579999962 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 19:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.879999831 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 19:27 | Will the New York Mets clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | BUY | 0.986999975 | $16.00 |
| 07-29 23:52 | Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1704314064 | $1.98 |
| 07-29 23:52 | Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.07 |
| 07-27 11:57 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $14.00 |
| 07-27 11:56 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $9.06 |
| 07-27 11:55 | Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.975 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 11:53 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 11:53 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999973 | $13.00 |
| 07-27 11:53 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9405940426 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 11:53 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | SELL | 0.993 | $20.39 |
| 07-23 20:22 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 16:06 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.64 | $6.00 |