thomyorke-802
0x02fc81db41ced07d14c270f9174f3823c208ddc6
- Realised P&L
- $-496.20
- Volume
- $131.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,252
- Open portfolio
- $130.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,252
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.23at 0.716Angels vs. Yankees
- +$15.37at 0.562Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?
- +$11.78at 0.437Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$9.67at 0.610Orioles vs. Yankees
- +$9.53at 0.850Chiefs vs. Dolphins
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 00:05 | Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 58.5 | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 00:05 | Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 56.5 | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 18:13 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 18:11 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799998733 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 18:11 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 18:11 | Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.6599999868 | $11.00 |
| 09-28 23:15 | Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 62.5 | BUY | 0.9419999978 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 18:02 | Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8629999911 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 18:02 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999957 | $4.00 |
| 09-26 20:31 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.8499999953 | $9.00 |
| 09-26 20:31 | Printr FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.953 | $9.64 |
| 09-26 20:30 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.8499999991 | $45.00 |
| 09-26 20:29 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999939 | $11.00 |
| 09-17 06:44 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 06:44 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.89 | $11.13 |