PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

M19284

0x02f09b29e2c5dc814ce93d1870e621b586f3d710

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$437.4k
Markets traded
166
Open portfolio
$688.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded166
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.8700.885$177.00+$3.00
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? · No0.8400.931$174.08+$17.02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9280.975$120.29+$5.74
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.9320.930$98.53$0.25
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9340.955$66.81+$1.44
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.1600.220$42.26+$11.53
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0110.003$7.20$18.18
Tread FDV above $500M one day after launch · Yes0.0160.009$1.50$0.98
Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch · Yes0.0190.011$1.21$0.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 18:29Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.16$30.74
09-07 04:16Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.87$87.00
09-07 04:15Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.87$87.00
08-31 12:03Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6308$157.70
08-31 03:42Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.67$134.00
08-31 03:41Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.67$33.50
08-31 03:41Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.87$222.07
06-26 12:08Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.011$11.00
06-26 12:02Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.005$1.00
06-26 12:01Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.006$1.20
06-26 11:46Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?SELL0.018$0.42
06-26 11:45Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.981$9.02
06-26 11:42Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.018$0.42
06-26 11:23Tread FDV above $400M one day after launchBUY0.019$2.09
06-26 11:23Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.011$4.40