PolyBot

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Traders

0x02e82e3b5e9affe93372b61f56fce455dc38f7e0

0x02e82e3b5e9affe93372b61f56fce455dc38f7e0

Realised P&L
$0.79
Volume
$51.22
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$2.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · Yes0.5500.920$1.67+$0.67
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes0.4000.320$0.80−$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 02:16Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-02 14:49Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
10-02 06:08S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?BUY0.32$1.00
10-01 10:50SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
09-30 02:39SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-30 02:19SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-28 04:47Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
09-27 20:47Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-22 20:16Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
09-19 23:15US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.7799995632$1.00
09-19 07:18Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.64$1.00
09-16 00:03Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-13 00:32Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.7299994744$1.00
09-09 19:38US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.5$1.00
09-09 11:37Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.6299998362$1.00