0x02e82e3b5e9affe93372b61f56fce455dc38f7e0
0x02e82e3b5e9affe93372b61f56fce455dc38f7e0
- Realised P&L
- $0.79
- Volume
- $51.22
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $2.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.920 | $1.67 | +$0.67 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.320 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$1.61at 0.389SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?
- +$1.30at 0.440Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$1.00at 0.500US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$0.62at 0.620Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $316 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 02:16 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:49 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:08 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:50 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:39 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:19 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:47 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:47 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 20:16 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 23:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:18 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:03 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 00:32 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:38 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 11:37 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |