Dillen-
0x02e2fbaa9615ca4851da05f79317d61f8aae8475
- Realised P&L
- $-42.27
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 250
- Open portfolio
- $85.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded250
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.40at 0.182US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$55.92at 0.068Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$48.74at 0.097Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$47.00at 0.060Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$33.46at 0.130US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 14:18 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.15 |
| 09-22 10:24 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.343 | $3.43 |
| 09-22 10:23 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.343 | $1.72 |
| 09-22 07:50 | Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.1960784314 | $8.00 |
| 09-22 07:49 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 07:42 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 22:26 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 07-31 22:25 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 07-19 22:01 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.907 | $34.01 |
| 07-19 19:09 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.78 |
| 07-19 19:08 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.419 | $20.95 |
| 07-14 20:21 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.85 |
| 07-14 20:20 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.041 | $2.05 |
| 07-14 20:20 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | SELL | 0.035 | $2.21 |
| 07-14 19:54 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.1774999713 | $5.00 |