PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x02defe90614131bf9719d2fb9256cbe5f2b09e50

0x02defe90614131bf9719d2fb9256cbe5f2b09e50

Realised P&L
$-8.06
Volume
$77.36
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$3.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.945$1.50+$0.50
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 23? · Yes0.5200.490$0.94−$0.06
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026? · No0.8000.750$0.94−$0.06
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.4000.195$0.49−$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 17:58Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
10-04 23:05Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
10-02 01:36Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-29 08:12Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-28 22:31Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-27 13:06Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-27 03:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.75$1.00
09-26 10:57Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?BUY0.78$1.00
09-25 14:56WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 25?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-25 06:43Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-23 21:57S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-23 00:32Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-19 07:21Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.64$1.00
09-17 19:06Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 23?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-17 05:03Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.64$1.00
Trader 0x02defe90614131bf9719d2fb9256cbe5f2b09e50 · PolyBot Pro