0x02defe90614131bf9719d2fb9256cbe5f2b09e50
0x02defe90614131bf9719d2fb9256cbe5f2b09e50
- Realised P&L
- $-8.06
- Volume
- $77.36
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $3.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.945 | $1.50 | +$0.50 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 23? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.490 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.750 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.195 | $0.49 | −$0.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.75at 0.369Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
- +$1.25at 0.450Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.15at 0.470S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24?
- +$0.98at 0.510Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:58 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:05 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 01:36 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:12 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 22:31 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:06 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:57 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 14:56 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 06:43 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 21:57 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 00:32 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:21 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:06 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 23? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:03 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |