0x02b8c8e5bac91dbcd82fab3b047e5f99a3bae0ee
0x02b8c8e5bac91dbcd82fab3b047e5f99a3bae0ee
- Realised P&L
- $7.83
- Volume
- $228.65
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $32.66
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.22at 0.319Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.438Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$1.83at 0.520Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?
- +$1.54at 0.562Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
- +$1.47at 0.572Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 07:51 | Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.8259999772 | $1.96 |
| 10-02 12:04 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.8489999983 | $1.96 |
| 10-01 04:51 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 15%-18%? | BUY | 0.8599999824 | $1.96 |
| 09-28 13:12 | Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.4399999635 | $1.93 |
| 09-28 08:52 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999544 | $1.92 |
| 09-22 23:22 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.96 |
| 09-18 16:04 | Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999676 | $1.95 |
| 09-18 05:44 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998998 | $1.95 |
| 09-07 09:31 | Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.6199999364 | $1.95 |
| 09-07 05:01 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999372 | $1.91 |
| 09-06 11:22 | Will Republicans win 10–11% of the Black vote? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.96 |
| 09-01 17:02 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on September 30? | BUY | 0.8399999829 | $1.96 |
| 08-31 10:51 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599998904 | $1.93 |
| 08-27 08:52 | Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.95 |
| 08-26 14:21 | Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.95 |