Pastel-Inhabitant-Molding
0x02a906a823a04c954b9a0cb97250f9a55fd060a2
- Realised P&L
- $-5.92
- Volume
- $490.34
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $33.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.94at 0.613NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
- +$0.79at 0.536Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18?
- +$0.50at 0.665Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
- +$-0.06at 0.211Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$-0.16at 0.281Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:22 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18? | SELL | 0.75 | $2.81 |
| 11-01 17:30 | Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.0726789893 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 17:20 | Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.0677958435 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 17:16 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:16 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0720581954 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:33 | Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.0653478281 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 16:30 | Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.0625610948 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 16:30 | Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.044315417 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 04:45 | Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 04:33 | Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 15:32 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1174058878 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 02:54 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.12 |
| 10-28 02:53 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.213 | $2.91 |
| 10-27 18:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.86 |
| 10-27 18:11 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |