PolyBot

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Traders

Imbafer

0x02a17a92e6f673129b37d95359c7af628a3cdd72

Realised P&L
$44.3k
Volume
$1.73M
Markets traded
461
Open portfolio
$103.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded461
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.5020.983$42.4k+$20.8k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8180.977$24.4k+$4.0k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.876$10.5k+$4.5k
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.6440.915$8.2k+$2.4k
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.875$7.0k+$3.0k
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7100.745$1.5k+$70.00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.124$1.5k−$4.5k
NATO dissolves before 2027? · No0.9000.979$1.5k+$117.75
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? · No0.9100.996$1.1k+$94.25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.3640.650$1.0k+$443.00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.126$1.0k−$3.0k
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.6200.925$948.87+$312.87
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4930.195$510.93−$781.51
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · No0.9440.967$483.47+$11.50
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6300.705$335.71+$35.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 20:02Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.6199999978$102.00
10-16 22:08Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6299999995$300.00
09-13 13:25Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2899999985$50.00
09-13 13:08Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4799999985$50.00
08-25 16:18Will Falcons Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?BUY0.1899999983$80.00
08-20 07:01Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long?BUY0.15$3.00
08-16 07:35Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.26$169.24
07-29 11:59Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.58$1.7k
07-23 07:47Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.56$2.8k
07-07 18:43Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.281$84.30
07-07 18:41Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.2830596084$419.21
07-07 18:02Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.0369953756$40.00
06-24 13:22Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.1$10.00
06-13 19:04Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?SELL0.42$78.70
06-12 08:52Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?SELL0.63$441.00