Punter81
0x0269ddd276910a2e4b7b98bd9b4eedb246fca94e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $51.6k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $33.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes | 0.363 | 0.120 | $33.02 | −$66.98 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET · Down | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.50 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.364 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$136.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.91at 0.532England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$80.46at 0.115Will the method of victory for the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be Spain Win: Extra Time?
- +$76.21at 0.146Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$61.35at 0.428Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$52.15at 0.256Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 09-10 18:46 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 09-01 18:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 09-01 18:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 08-21 20:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6799999984 | $50.00 |
| 07-25 19:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 19:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 18:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 18:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999908 | $25.00 |
| 07-25 18:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 18:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.0766353994 | $25.00 |
| 07-20 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999956 | $25.00 |
| 07-20 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.0720884381 | $25.00 |