Edvinp
0x023c60f5f4d730af3980d45d48e9638703c7bdaf
- Realised P&L
- $-19.7k
- Volume
- $463.5k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $124.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.424Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8AM ET
- +$2.6kat 0.280Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
- +$1.7kat 0.576Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5AM ET
- +$1.2kat 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7AM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 12:15 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.955 | $1.2k |
| 07-27 22:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.735 | $294.00 |
| 07-27 19:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.734 | $146.80 |
| 07-22 20:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7728902092 | $3.2k |
| 06-26 20:16 | Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.22 | $220.00 |
| 06-19 06:05 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $183.78 |
| 06-19 06:04 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $50.88 |
| 06-19 06:03 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | SELL | 0.89 | $199.99 |
| 06-18 21:01 | Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? | BUY | 0.8299999992 | $350.00 |
| 06-18 20:58 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | SELL | 0.999 | $312.19 |
| 06-17 21:54 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.89 | $200.00 |
| 06-17 21:52 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.64 | $200.00 |
| 06-17 21:28 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.72 | $900.00 |
| 06-17 21:27 | Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $200.00 |
| 06-17 21:27 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7199999999 | $510.00 |