PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Pebblethaw

0x0238ba6666da4adaafa4bb0d09b8d1b79b58fe18

Realised P&L
$-3.75
Volume
$27.3k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$2.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$2.80−$2.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 14:58Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August 2026?BUY0.002$0.01
08-29 14:58Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in August 2026?BUY0.002$0.01
08-29 14:58Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in August 2026?BUY0.003$0.01
08-29 14:58Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026?BUY0.003$0.02
08-29 14:57Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in August 2026?BUY0.004$0.10
08-23 10:42Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026?BUY0.036$1.08
08-23 10:42Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August 2026?BUY0.017$0.10
08-23 10:42Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026?BUY0.004$0.35
08-23 10:42Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel in August 2026?BUY0.004$0.25
08-23 10:42Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August 2026?BUY0.008$1.13
08-23 10:41Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in August 2026?BUY0.003$0.35
08-23 10:41Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
08-18 09:15Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?BUY0.004$1.00
08-18 09:15Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?BUY0.003$0.06
08-18 09:15Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?BUY0.005$1.00