PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mrBet

0x01a4536519942190034079ce42ed726266fb0064

Realised P&L
$-4.2k
Volume
$341.0k
Markets traded
258
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded258
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9050.963$1.7k+$102.54
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.955$241.77+$41.77
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.3800.680$179.07+$79.07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.2020.280$147.79+$41.04
Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? · No0.3520.340$48.35$1.65
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.4100.300$36.59$13.41
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.1800.345$19.16+$9.16
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.0840.053$6.31$3.69
Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? · Yes0.0800.100$6.22+$1.22
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.085$4.25$0.75
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0380.120$3.12+$2.12
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0420.011$2.62$7.38
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? · No0.6030.000$0.00$200.00
Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? · Yes0.2320.000$0.00$10.00
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31? · Yes0.4310.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 16:10Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.3899999959$50.00
07-26 16:09Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?BUY0.3516119414$50.00
07-26 16:07Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.2599999966$50.00
07-26 16:04US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUY0.5199999958$50.00
07-26 16:04US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUY0.5160982931$50.00
07-26 16:03Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.0999043211$93.24
07-26 16:02Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.26$237.50
07-26 16:02Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.32$303.90
07-26 16:01Nothing Ever Happens: 2026SELL0.2419375248$226.00
07-25 09:35Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.4099999969$50.00
07-25 09:31Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.042$10.00
07-25 09:29Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.179999987$10.00
07-25 09:29Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.0839999916$10.00
07-21 22:11Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.119999999$100.00
07-21 22:03Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.4463963258$300.00