0xbaa5
0x019e20a59d71d71ba94d0ed52e718ffe0b1eaf1d
- Realised P&L
- $-24.4k
- Volume
- $558.9k
- Markets traded
- 476
- Open portfolio
- $21.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded476
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.956Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$1.3kat 0.418Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
- +$1.1kat 0.662Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$755.20at 0.600Canucks vs. Blue Jackets
- +$733.04at 0.56076ers vs. Hornets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 23:20 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.41 | $136.53 |
| 07-11 23:20 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.45 | $149.85 |
| 07-09 19:53 | France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.579999999 | $175.00 |
| 07-09 19:40 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.645 | $214.78 |
| 07-09 17:46 | France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5 | $166.50 |
| 06-24 01:57 | Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.44 | $39.38 |
| 06-24 01:56 | Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $104.32 |
| 06-24 01:56 | Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $33.89 |
| 06-23 02:25 | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | SELL | 0.64 | $213.12 |
| 06-22 13:56 | Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.9499033429 | $332.47 |
| 06-22 04:22 | Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.917 | $305.36 |
| 06-22 04:22 | Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.93 | $309.69 |
| 06-21 22:06 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.962 | $854.26 |
| 06-21 13:47 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.961 | $257.55 |
| 06-20 14:55 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $289.71 |