PolyBot

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Traders

Sorrowful-Surround

0x019e20a59d71d71ba94d0ed52e718ffe0b1eaf1d

Realised P&L
$-27.7k
Volume
$574.9k
Markets traded
495
Open portfolio
$26.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded495
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8990.994$2.0k+$188.18
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7880.979$1.9k+$365.24
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5310.959$1.9k+$825.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9690.998$1.6k+$47.19
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7040.961$1.4k+$385.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8660.983$1.4k+$161.57
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9540.989$1.3k+$45.75
No one announced as next James Bond? · No0.6490.860$1.1k+$261.19
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.4600.815$1.1k+$460.51
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6150.735$1.1k+$173.02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9340.980$869.80+$40.40
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.971$861.80+$124.76
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8380.876$777.89+$33.74
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.875$777.00+$48.84
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · No0.8000.845$750.36+$39.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 12:05Kings vs. SpursBUY0.92$5.6k
10-19 13:58Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?BUY0.17$51.00
10-19 13:57Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?BUY0.16$1.65
10-19 13:26Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?BUY0.87$576.80
10-19 13:25No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.65$649.78
10-19 13:25No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.648$11.05
10-19 13:25No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.647$144.71
10-19 13:25Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.85$637.50
10-19 13:24US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.89$667.50
10-19 13:23Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.8$710.40
10-19 13:23Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.81$607.50
10-19 13:23Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.537$378.59
10-19 13:23Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.536$80.40
10-19 13:23Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.534$10.68
10-19 13:22Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.533$106.60