PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbaa5

0x019e20a59d71d71ba94d0ed52e718ffe0b1eaf1d

Realised P&L
$-24.4k
Volume
$558.9k
Markets traded
476
Open portfolio
$21.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded476
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8990.982$2.0k+$164.27
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7880.955$1.8k+$320.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5310.930$1.8k+$770.40
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9690.987$1.6k+$29.15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7040.945$1.4k+$361.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8660.983$1.4k+$161.57
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9540.982$1.3k+$36.47
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.4600.815$1.1k+$460.51
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6150.695$999.53+$115.50
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9340.975$865.36+$35.96
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3720.512$856.39+$235.40
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.963$854.70+$117.66
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8380.919$816.52+$72.37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.745$661.56$66.60
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9260.958$637.70+$20.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 23:20Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5BUY0.41$136.53
07-11 23:20Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.45$149.85
07-09 19:53France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5BUY0.579999999$175.00
07-09 19:40Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.645$214.78
07-09 17:46France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5$166.50
06-24 01:57Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.44$39.38
06-24 01:56Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5BUY0.45$104.32
06-24 01:56Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY0.24$33.89
06-23 02:25Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?SELL0.64$213.12
06-22 13:56Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.9499033429$332.47
06-22 04:22Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.917$305.36
06-22 04:22Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.93$309.69
06-21 22:06Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.962$854.26
06-21 13:47Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.961$257.55
06-20 14:55Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?BUY0.87$289.71