Sorrowful-Surround
0x019e20a59d71d71ba94d0ed52e718ffe0b1eaf1d
- Realised P&L
- $-27.7k
- Volume
- $574.9k
- Markets traded
- 495
- Open portfolio
- $26.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded495
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.956Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$1.3kat 0.418Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
- +$1.1kat 0.662Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$755.20at 0.600Canucks vs. Blue Jackets
- +$733.04at 0.56076ers vs. Hornets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 12:05 | Kings vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.92 | $5.6k |
| 10-19 13:58 | Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BUY | 0.17 | $51.00 |
| 10-19 13:57 | Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.65 |
| 10-19 13:26 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $576.80 |
| 10-19 13:25 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.65 | $649.78 |
| 10-19 13:25 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.648 | $11.05 |
| 10-19 13:25 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.647 | $144.71 |
| 10-19 13:25 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $637.50 |
| 10-19 13:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $667.50 |
| 10-19 13:23 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $710.40 |
| 10-19 13:23 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $607.50 |
| 10-19 13:23 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.537 | $378.59 |
| 10-19 13:23 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.536 | $80.40 |
| 10-19 13:23 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.534 | $10.68 |
| 10-19 13:22 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.533 | $106.60 |