PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ksosdn

0x015b3d76c43bff5ac77d0abeac510de1e7e4b07a

Realised P&L
$97.05
Volume
$64.6k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$47.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1700.059$17.85$33.15
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.055$10.31$4.69
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.045$9.00$15.00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5000.145$4.35$10.65
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4000.075$1.88$8.13
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.055$1.72$3.28
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%? · Yes0.0700.030$1.52$1.98
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes0.0670.007$0.52$4.48
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$9.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2510.000$0.00$4.14
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$12.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00$12.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Austria? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 22:00Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0349999669$1.00
07-19 21:57Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0724999351$1.00
07-19 21:57Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0649999408$1.00
07-19 21:57Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0649999408$1.00
07-19 21:54Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.925$4.78
07-19 21:52Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.08$1.00
07-19 21:50Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0549999746$2.00
07-19 21:44Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.93$15.57
07-19 21:44Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.9175$14.22
07-19 21:27Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7099998694$5.00
07-19 21:11Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7399998964$5.00
07-19 21:10Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7274999851$5.00
07-19 21:09Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.059999946$1.00
07-19 21:08Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.0549999486$1.00
07-19 21:08Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.0699999363$1.00