ksosdn
0x015b3d76c43bff5ac77d0abeac510de1e7e4b07a
- Realised P&L
- $97.05
- Volume
- $64.6k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $47.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$227.50at 0.228US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$158.46at 0.177US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$52.77at 0.251US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$47.81at 0.116Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$37.85at 0.2090 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 22:00 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0349999669 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:57 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0724999351 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:57 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0649999408 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:57 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0649999408 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:54 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.925 | $4.78 |
| 07-19 21:52 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:50 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0549999746 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 21:44 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.93 | $15.57 |
| 07-19 21:44 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9175 | $14.22 |
| 07-19 21:27 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7099998694 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:11 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7399998964 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:10 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7274999851 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:09 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:08 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.0549999486 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:08 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |