poebot
0x0157229dae0f9f5b0eb2296a8b368829d227340f
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $467.7k
- Markets traded
- 4,685
- Open portfolio
- $271.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,685
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$311.26at 0.429Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
- +$280.00at 0.432Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
- +$200.98at 0.254Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$191.20at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$187.18at 0.240Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:40 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999909 | $13.05 |
| 09-21 08:38 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999926 | $5.32 |
| 09-21 05:37 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $7.55 |
| 09-21 04:31 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.25 |
| 09-21 04:28 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.09 |
| 09-21 03:34 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.951 | $1.65 |
| 09-21 00:55 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $2.16 |
| 09-20 23:17 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999923 | $3.15 |
| 09-20 22:27 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.955 | $3.85 |
| 09-20 22:27 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.9549999977 | $10.22 |
| 09-20 21:54 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.8599999823 | $3.88 |
| 09-20 19:47 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9569999966 | $17.33 |
| 09-20 19:02 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.45 |
| 09-20 18:13 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.951 | $2.31 |
| 09-20 16:06 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $2.29 |