AJK2
0x014e43f125476582b224aac58191bb892d913794
- Realised P&L
- $916.51
- Volume
- $101.5k
- Markets traded
- 255
- Open portfolio
- $7.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded255
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$146.67at 0.120US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
- +$105.63at 0.159Kristi Noem out by March 31?
- +$92.59at 0.844US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
- +$80.60at 0.199Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
- +$71.49at 0.627US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:56 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $90.86 |
| 08-02 17:55 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4888663188 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 09:53 | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.9519999973 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 09:52 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4299999961 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 13:01 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 22:17 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $200.00 |
| 07-31 22:17 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $215.88 |
| 07-31 22:17 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $203.11 |
| 07-30 07:52 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $405.00 |
| 07-30 07:51 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $395.69 |
| 07-29 22:09 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? | BUY | 0.0239999881 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 22:09 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 22:08 | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.9709999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-25 09:22 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2899999907 | $20.00 |
| 07-24 22:34 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by August 31? | BUY | 0.994666208 | $300.00 |