PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

AJK2

0x014e43f125476582b224aac58191bb892d913794

Realised P&L
$916.51
Volume
$101.5k
Markets traded
255
Open portfolio
$7.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded255
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9800.981$2.5k+$0.35
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8380.975$639.75+$89.75
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8150.855$419.87+$19.87
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7880.925$410.68+$60.68
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.9600.954$402.47$2.53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8500.935$330.00+$30.00
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by August 31? · Yes0.9950.984$296.63$3.37
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.7340.934$254.52+$54.52
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7130.675$231.97$13.04
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No0.7980.920$230.64+$30.64
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8900.962$216.07+$16.07
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8900.931$209.38+$9.38
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? · No0.9110.985$205.20+$15.20
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9100.915$201.10+$1.10
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.9610.950$197.63$2.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:56US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.47$90.86
08-02 17:55US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4888663188$100.00
08-02 09:53Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.9519999973$100.00
08-02 09:52US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4299999961$20.00
08-01 13:01Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.4$50.00
07-31 22:17Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.91$200.00
07-31 22:17Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.98$215.88
07-31 22:17Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.98$203.11
07-30 07:52US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.96$405.00
07-30 07:51Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.98$395.69
07-29 22:09Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?BUY0.0239999881$2.00
07-29 22:09Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?BUY0.007$2.00
07-29 22:08Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.9709999999$100.00
07-25 09:22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2899999907$20.00
07-24 22:34Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by August 31?BUY0.994666208$300.00