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Traders

aka41

0x013dfc13ce1fdfac5e32568f9d03fd2a904a3e88

Realised P&L
$5.9k
Volume
$3.72M
Markets traded
593
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded593
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 01:39Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.019$34.22
10-27 00:49Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.18$1.80
10-27 00:47Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.17$11.33
10-27 00:46Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.17$4.25
10-21 19:07Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $6M?BUY0.01$1.00
09-29 21:26Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?BUY0.36$470.65
09-09 20:29Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.5250946644$305.08
09-09 00:15Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.5$50.00
07-05 21:14Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.1799999909$15.00
06-22 23:12Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.20T and $1.30T on June 30?BUY0.1$2.59
06-22 23:12Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on June 30?BUY0.0368413967$1.75
06-06 04:27Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.6714547755$138.00
06-06 04:27Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.68$222.97
05-02 05:05Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.0232056106$76.61
04-01 19:29Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?BUY0.1486281973$97.62
Trader aka41 · PolyBot Pro