PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

1635262

0x013dfc13ce1fdfac5e32568f9d03fd2a904a3e88

Realised P&L
$6.5k
Volume
$3.80M
Markets traded
583
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded583
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31? · Yes0.1340.339$321.83+$194.82
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? · No0.2000.590$295.00+$195.00
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1600.214$219.82+$56.11
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · No0.7010.650$171.53$13.33
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? · No0.5000.900$53.13+$23.63
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1590.153$14.39$0.53
Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0500.096$8.50+$4.05
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$2.66$18.61
Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31? · Yes0.2000.028$2.15$13.47
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$1.22$8.54
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0050.001$0.95$8.59
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$0.95$6.67
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on June 30? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$51.75
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.20T and $1.30T on June 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$2.59
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$6.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 21:14Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.1799999909$15.00
06-22 23:12Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.20T and $1.30T on June 30?BUY0.1$2.59
06-22 23:12Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on June 30?BUY0.0368413967$1.75
06-06 04:27Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.6714547755$138.00
06-06 04:27Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.68$222.97
05-02 05:05Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.0232056106$76.61
04-01 19:29Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?BUY0.1486281973$97.62
03-31 03:13Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0294328979$0.99
03-29 01:16Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.004$0.41
03-29 01:16Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.004$1.04
03-29 01:13Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?BUY0.26$19.29
03-29 01:13Will the Patek Index hit $106,000 (HIGH) by April 30?BUY0.1841832253$70.45
03-29 01:06Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.71$9.87
03-29 01:05Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?BUY0.5461636824$289.16
02-24 03:51Will Mark Zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on March 31?BUY0.05$0.61