PolyBot

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Traders

Setzer

0x013bb6734d0b47b3f810bcae2f7cef2847f5c3dd

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$121.6k
Markets traded
910
Open portfolio
$27.48

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded910
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0200.021$10.25+$0.25
Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1100.220$4.40+$2.20
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.051$3.09+$0.69
Kim Kardashian announces passing the Bar Exam by 2027? · Yes0.0300.050$2.50+$1.00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$2.41−$0.22
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? · Yes0.1070.055$1.26−$1.20
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.075$1.07+$0.07
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? · No0.0900.059$0.71−$0.37
SBF released from custody in 2026? · Yes0.0700.015$0.54−$1.91
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.035$0.52−$0.68
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? · No0.1900.058$0.34−$0.80
Will Obsession win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1300.045$0.23−$0.42
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · Yes0.1200.033$0.15−$0.40
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.15
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$2.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 23:15France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-27 02:16Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?BUY0.09$1.08
10-27 02:08Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November?SELL0.002$0.04
08-22 14:05Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.07$6.13
08-17 00:56Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?SELL0.24$3.42
08-17 00:55Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.06$1.50
08-10 02:11Will Nikolas Ferreira win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?SELL0.001$0.40
08-10 02:10Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.47$11.75
07-24 18:12Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?SELL0.15$2.06
07-17 00:32Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?SELL0.076$1.14
07-17 00:30Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.415$2.07
07-12 14:10Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.19$1.14
07-10 02:13Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETBUY0.02$0.50
07-10 02:02China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?SELL0.043$8.81
07-09 01:24Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.26$1.30