Setzer
0x013bb6734d0b47b3f810bcae2f7cef2847f5c3dd
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $121.6k
- Markets traded
- 910
- Open portfolio
- $27.48
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded910
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$164.10at 0.566Will Trump's 2025 joint address get 34-38m viewers?
- +$153.48at 0.010Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?
- +$106.05at 0.112Will Apple launch an iPhone SE on February 19?
- +$77.70at 0.005Will "Only Murders in the Building" win Best Cast in a Comedy Series at the 2025 SAG Awards?
- +$57.64at 0.199Will Biden issue more pardons than Trump?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 23:15 | France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 02:16 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 10-27 02:08 | Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 08-22 14:05 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $6.13 |
| 08-17 00:56 | Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $3.42 |
| 08-17 00:55 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.50 |
| 08-10 02:11 | Will Nikolas Ferreira win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.40 |
| 08-10 02:10 | Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.47 | $11.75 |
| 07-24 18:12 | Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.06 |
| 07-17 00:32 | Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.076 | $1.14 |
| 07-17 00:30 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.415 | $2.07 |
| 07-12 14:10 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 07-10 02:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $0.50 |
| 07-10 02:02 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.043 | $8.81 |
| 07-09 01:24 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |