PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PraDo

0x00ee2b7e6bc04c0ba41e23496407b3bf59009a7d

Realised P&L
$262.29
Volume
$23.6k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$157.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes0.7000.750$107.14+$7.14
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0670.019$29.10−$70.89
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4900.245$15.00−$15.00
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0540.017$3.36−$7.64
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0820.021$2.51−$7.49
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$40.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3290.000$0.00−$100.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.1110.000$0.00−$50.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 08:07Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?SELL0.7105335007$226.41
10-16 06:30Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?BUY0.6276463256$200.00
10-16 06:21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?SELL0.92$141.53
10-04 09:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?BUY0.7499999963$100.00
10-04 09:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?BUY0.6499999994$100.00
10-04 09:16NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.78$109.86
09-28 07:50NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7099999971$100.00
09-28 07:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?BUY0.6793206788$100.00
09-24 07:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?BUY0.64$25.00
09-24 07:46Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.1099999999$10.00
09-22 06:25Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.952$26.81
09-15 06:11Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7799999996$239.00
08-10 08:11Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.6999999951$100.00
07-20 06:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.5102504905$30.00
07-19 22:12Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.9975$802.98