PraDo
0x00ee2b7e6bc04c0ba41e23496407b3bf59009a7d
- Realised P&L
- $262.29
- Volume
- $23.6k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $157.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$314.21at 0.607Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$307.97at 0.276UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?
- +$96.53at 0.677Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$67.41at 0.780Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$56.48at 0.266Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 08:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | SELL | 0.7105335007 | $226.41 |
| 10-16 06:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.6276463256 | $200.00 |
| 10-16 06:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | SELL | 0.92 | $141.53 |
| 10-04 09:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.7499999963 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 09:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 09:16 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $109.86 |
| 09-28 07:50 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999971 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 07:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.6793206788 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 07:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $25.00 |
| 09-24 07:46 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 06:25 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.952 | $26.81 |
| 09-15 06:11 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7799999996 | $239.00 |
| 08-10 08:11 | Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.6999999951 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 06:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.5102504905 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 22:12 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9975 | $802.98 |