0x00d3f19ca70c18a13aa07b1b79da19bb92e37d77
0x00d3f19ca70c18a13aa07b1b79da19bb92e37d77
- Realised P&L
- $-13.47
- Volume
- $874.71
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $12.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.205 | $3.97 | −$0.63 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 13? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.165 | $2.17 | +$0.28 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.365 | $1.97 | −$0.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12? · No | 0.450 | 0.580 | $1.50 | +$0.34 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.130 | $1.14 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 12? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.012 | $0.97 | −$3.63 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 18? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.036 | $0.92 | −$0.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.163 | 0.003 | $0.02 | −$1.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.99at 0.160Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
- +$11.20at 0.243Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
- +$9.24at 0.281Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
- +$8.75at 0.292Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
- +$8.51at 0.298Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 17:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.2399999833 | $1.15 |
| 10-12 17:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 10-12 17:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.2399999833 | $1.15 |
| 10-12 17:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.2399999833 | $1.15 |
| 10-12 16:39 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.1299999966 | $1.14 |
| 10-12 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.4299999073 | $1.16 |
| 10-12 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.4299999073 | $1.16 |
| 10-12 16:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.0436106181 | $1.12 |
| 10-12 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.044510574 | $0.59 |
| 10-12 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.0422525405 | $1.13 |
| 10-12 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.4499999612 | $1.16 |
| 10-12 13:46 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.1629999774 | $1.14 |
| 10-12 13:39 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.0779487179 | $1.14 |
| 10-12 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.0689999964 | $1.14 |
| 10-12 13:30 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.60 |