PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

peterbet

0x00c40c6e474f3ea420b4cead872623bf3df0bcd4

Realised P&L
$-240.36
Volume
$23.5k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$146.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8600.972$112.97+$12.97
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.1730.080$23.08$26.92
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.055$5.16$9.84
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.3620.050$3.42$21.58
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.1900.045$2.37$7.63
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election? · Yes0.3280.000$0.00$6.50
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.3060.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET · Up0.2590.000$0.00$240.90
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$5.00
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00$15.50
Japanese Snap Election Called by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00$35.00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$5.00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.0800.000$0.00$15.00
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30? · No0.0550.000$0.00$5.00
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? · Yes0.1530.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-14 20:05Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
06-12 20:41Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.07$7.78
06-12 20:26Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.1699999422$2.00
06-12 02:43Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0179999965$5.00
06-12 02:42Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1089999821$5.00
06-12 02:42Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1609999762$5.00
06-12 02:40Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0220374863$5.00
05-13 02:05SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?BUY0.6$15.00
05-13 02:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
05-13 02:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.025$10.00
05-13 02:03Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.001$1.00
05-13 02:03Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.3619999933$25.00
04-11 02:21Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETBUY0.1899999569$2.65
04-10 05:18Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?BUY0.2799999895$15.00
04-10 05:17No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.3399999912$20.00