peterbet
0x00c40c6e474f3ea420b4cead872623bf3df0bcd4
- Realised P&L
- $-240.36
- Volume
- $23.5k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $146.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.59at 0.885Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
- +$57.44at 0.419No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
- +$48.19at 0.237U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
- +$38.82at 0.340No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$35.83at 0.419Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 20:05 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 20:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.78 |
| 06-12 20:26 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 06-12 02:43 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999965 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 02:42 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1089999821 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 02:42 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1609999762 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 02:40 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0220374863 | $5.00 |
| 05-13 02:05 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13? | BUY | 0.6 | $15.00 |
| 05-13 02:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 02:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 02:03 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 02:03 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.3619999933 | $25.00 |
| 04-11 02:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999569 | $2.65 |
| 04-10 05:18 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999895 | $15.00 |
| 04-10 05:17 | No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3399999912 | $20.00 |