philneeds
0x00be7c4fffec45583a9e08f351480e6457f65aca
- Realised P&L
- $-55.8k
- Volume
- $942.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,992
- Open portfolio
- $194.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,992
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.460Knicks vs. Pacers
- +$4.2kat 0.742Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
- +$3.9kat 0.760Browns vs. Bears
- +$3.8kat 0.570Thunder vs. Timberwolves
- +$3.7kat 0.738Timberwolves vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 04:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.6249801475 | $50.00 |
| 08-15 04:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.6316358774 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 04:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4479603494 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 04:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 04:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.741896267 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 04:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $21.05 |
| 08-15 04:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.769659065 | $400.00 |
| 08-15 04:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $45.68 |
| 08-15 04:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 08-15 04:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5456003866 | $300.00 |
| 08-15 04:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4976709002 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 04:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.485327268 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 04:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4738456912 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 04:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 08-15 04:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6278632156 | $300.00 |