yyy-paky
0x00b10fbec8bc1d67be4e5caf11ccdc4dfead0533
- Realised P&L
- $-75.19
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $142.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.39at 0.206Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$12.64at 0.216Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
- +$6.36at 0.046Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
- +$3.26at 0.650Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.73at 0.450Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 04:40 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.8 | $12.34 |
| 09-30 04:40 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.25 | $7.28 |
| 09-29 04:23 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.2599999966 | $7.57 |
| 09-29 04:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.64 |
| 09-29 04:23 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $10.15 |
| 09-24 20:01 | Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.459999915 | $2.38 |
| 09-15 19:22 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6899999935 | $10.64 |
| 09-11 08:06 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $9.23 |
| 09-10 22:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3499999958 | $8.37 |
| 09-10 15:25 | Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.79 |
| 09-10 08:43 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $10.38 |
| 09-10 08:43 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | SELL | 0.74 | $11.22 |
| 09-10 08:43 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.48 | $8.69 |
| 09-10 08:43 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $13.90 |
| 09-09 15:54 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.7699999858 | $10.81 |