aylhy77
0x008aacd778676ba8704d48d3e1e41096dbe48451
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $32.6k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $367.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.205 | $102.50 | +$2.50 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.215 | $97.73 | −$2.27 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.112 | $77.97 | −$22.03 |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes | 0.969 | 0.255 | $42.00 | −$118.00 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.890 | $39.85 | +$9.85 |
| Portland Fire vs. Golden State Valkyries · Portland Fire | 0.913 | 0.135 | $7.40 | −$42.60 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.185Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$262.68at 0.742Hornets vs. Magic
- +$193.48at 0.508US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$119.00at 0.962Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$85.54at 0.665Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 11:07 | Portland Fire vs. Golden State Valkyries | BUY | 0.9126984115 | $50.00 |
| 09-11 11:04 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $30.00 |
| 09-11 11:03 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.8 | $30.00 |
| 09-09 03:02 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.5896314801 | $560.00 |
| 09-08 11:53 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $30.00 |
| 09-08 11:44 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $50.00 |
| 07-27 16:33 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1429999988 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 16:33 | Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 16:33 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2199999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-24 05:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7399999349 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 02:57 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6924999999 | $300.00 |
| 07-19 02:57 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0699999979 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 02:56 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.16 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 02:55 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2699999994 | $300.00 |
| 07-19 02:07 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6924999985 | $100.00 |