PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kiddddddd

0x0044c20cde2f37e271d7e0816c21913053e8cb2c

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$2.05M
Markets traded
7,193
Open portfolio
$16.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,193
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.0420.061$3.05+$0.95
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.2000.881$1.76+$1.36
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.4110.910$1.55+$0.85
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.4000.870$1.45+$0.78
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.3020.826$0.98+$0.62
Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026? · Yes0.3500.290$0.95$0.20
Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey before 2027? · Yes0.0690.035$0.72$0.72
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.2100.170$0.72$0.17
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2400.135$0.64$0.50
GHO depeg by December 31? · Yes0.1600.036$0.55$1.85
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0460.019$0.54$0.73
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? · No0.3800.285$0.51$0.17
Surf FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2400.225$0.45$0.03
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.3050.091$0.27$0.64
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? · Yes0.0540.061$0.25+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 11:42Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.035$0.04
08-05 07:38Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.19$0.19
08-04 20:230 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?SELL0.044$0.04
08-04 16:160 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?SELL0.027$0.03
08-04 15:36Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?SELL0.018$0.02
08-03 23:28Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?SELL0.002$0.00
08-03 23:27Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?SELL0.002$0.00
08-03 23:27Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?SELL0.002$0.00
08-03 01:03Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.049$0.05
08-02 03:05Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July?SELL0.039$0.04
08-02 02:15Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?SELL0.042$0.04
08-01 07:03Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.13$0.13
08-01 06:52Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.13$0.13
08-01 06:49Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.13$0.13
08-01 00:01Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?SELL0.047$0.05