kiddddddd
0x0044c20cde2f37e271d7e0816c21913053e8cb2c
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $2.05M
- Markets traded
- 7,193
- Open portfolio
- $16.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,193
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.16at 0.008Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
- +$63.35at 0.031Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-21?
- +$52.08at 0.136Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
- +$45.61at 0.351Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$43.49at 0.242Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 11:42 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.035 | $0.04 |
| 08-05 07:38 | Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.19 |
| 08-04 20:23 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | SELL | 0.044 | $0.04 |
| 08-04 16:16 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.03 |
| 08-04 15:36 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.02 |
| 08-03 23:28 | Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 08-03 23:27 | Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 08-03 23:27 | Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 08-03 01:03 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.049 | $0.05 |
| 08-02 03:05 | Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.04 |
| 08-02 02:15 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.042 | $0.04 |
| 08-01 07:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.13 |
| 08-01 06:52 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.13 |
| 08-01 06:49 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.13 |
| 08-01 00:01 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.047 | $0.05 |