yachaa
0x0041f31ecf54ff527ac7ae6f9a506471e81d5462
- Realised P&L
- $-787.29
- Volume
- $48.9k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $949.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$319.90at 0.540US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$281.81at 0.648US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$160.52at 0.624Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?
- +$151.08at 0.665Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
- +$150.58at 0.541Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 09:09 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.585 | $175.50 |
| 07-17 09:08 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.156740743 | $76.58 |
| 07-07 12:38 | Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6206557783 | $50.16 |
| 06-22 22:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $32.64 |
| 06-22 22:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 06-22 22:05 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.51 | $15.30 |
| 06-22 22:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? | BUY | 0.5755580258 | $25.89 |
| 06-22 22:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 06-10 07:02 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.161 | $48.30 |
| 06-03 16:08 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June? | SELL | 0.11 | $17.60 |
| 06-03 07:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June? | BUY | 0.23 | $18.40 |
| 06-03 07:22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June? | BUY | 0.66 | $12.63 |
| 06-03 07:02 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June? | BUY | 0.21 | $16.80 |
| 05-31 08:10 | Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May? | BUY | 0.92 | $13.65 |
| 05-29 21:07 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.687 | $8.92 |