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Traders

ThePortrait

0x002dcd37b0b8fa8db98236e599fe1b90d6272561

Realised P&L
$49.0k
Volume
$3.15M
Markets traded
1,406
Open portfolio
$7.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,406
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.7400.945$2.8k+$615.00
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8810.967$1.9k+$170.88
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.512$1.0k+$25.29
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.487$975.00$25.00
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? · No0.7330.964$564.35+$135.35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.085$397.88$303.24
Will Elon register any party before 2027? · No0.8040.894$59.78+$6.01
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9700.999$4.99+$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 15:30Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.12$38.29
07-27 14:01Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.997$2.0k
07-08 02:40Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.999$28.0k
07-04 16:57Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY0.999$28.2k
06-30 18:04Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?BUY0.999$15.0k
06-30 13:04Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?BUY0.999$9.9k
06-30 13:03Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?BUY0.999$10.57
06-30 13:02Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?BUY0.998$7.96
06-29 03:36Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?SELL0.0835414708$41.77
06-18 11:33Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?BUY0.13$130.00
06-18 11:33Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?BUY0.1381713516$343.83
06-17 10:35Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? SELL0.2019237$201.92
06-17 01:51US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.998$24.9k
06-10 05:38Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?BUY0.026470887$11.72
06-10 02:47Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?BUY0.09$10.19
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