PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x002d24addf1db74566847d117fe23b1459532c45

0x002d24addf1db74566847d117fe23b1459532c45

Realised P&L
$2.16
Volume
$139.09
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$6.02

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump renames AI by September 30? · No0.7600.820$1.08+$0.08
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · Yes0.5600.600$1.07+$0.07
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2100.150$1.06−$0.43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No0.7800.800$1.03+$0.03
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? · Yes0.2700.255$0.94−$0.06
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes0.2100.175$0.83−$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 06:18Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-26 16:39Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-26 07:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.7799995632$1.00
09-25 21:53Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-25 13:52WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 25?BUY0.2$1.00
09-25 04:19Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-25 02:57Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-24 17:51Will Costco say "Hot Dog" during earnings call?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-24 09:51Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-23 13:50Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.509999935$1.49
09-23 05:41Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.3299999646$1.49
09-21 20:12Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.8$1.49
09-20 22:29Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.9299999686$1.48
09-20 04:06Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?BUY0.7399999305$1.49
09-19 06:47Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3699999106$1.49