0x002d24addf1db74566847d117fe23b1459532c45
0x002d24addf1db74566847d117fe23b1459532c45
- Realised P&L
- $2.16
- Volume
- $139.09
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $6.02
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.760 | 0.820 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.600 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.150 | $1.06 | −$0.43 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.780 | 0.800 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.255 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.175 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.17at 0.320US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.99at 0.339Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.99at 0.339WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 2?
- +$2.11at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.94at 0.440SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 06:18 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 16:39 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:53 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:52 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:19 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:57 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 17:51 | Will Costco say "Hot Dog" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 09:51 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 13:50 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.509999935 | $1.49 |
| 09-23 05:41 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999646 | $1.49 |
| 09-21 20:12 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.49 |
| 09-20 22:29 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999686 | $1.48 |
| 09-20 04:06 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999305 | $1.49 |
| 09-19 06:47 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999106 | $1.49 |