PolyBot

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Traders

0x0019cca439febb3be394d6a046379623ddfa5279

0x0019cca439febb3be394d6a046379623ddfa5279

Realised P&L
$-4.13
Volume
$5.1k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$44.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.1800.225$25.00+$5.00
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.1100.115$10.45+$0.45
Iran leadership change by November 30? · Yes0.1000.065$5.85−$3.15
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? · Yes0.0080.004$2.81−$2.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 19:09Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.1099999999$10.00
09-24 19:03Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?BUY0.008$5.00
09-24 18:44Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.23$20.35
09-18 08:03Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.2599999984$23.00
09-16 18:24Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.02$5.09
09-14 16:51Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.0259999999$3.00
09-14 07:42Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.036$5.00
09-14 03:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.1799999986$20.00
09-14 03:19Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.0290962493$50.98
09-12 09:09Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.025$23.70
09-12 09:00Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.0242717481$19.52
08-22 11:18Iran leadership change by November 30?BUY0.1$9.00