0x0019cca439febb3be394d6a046379623ddfa5279
0x0019cca439febb3be394d6a046379623ddfa5279
- Realised P&L
- $-4.13
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $44.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.225 | $25.00 | +$5.00 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.115 | $10.45 | +$0.45 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.065 | $5.85 | −$3.15 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.004 | $2.81 | −$2.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.28at 0.033Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
- +$-5.40at 0.276Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 19:09 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 19:03 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? | BUY | 0.008 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 18:44 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.23 | $20.35 |
| 09-18 08:03 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2599999984 | $23.00 |
| 09-16 18:24 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.02 | $5.09 |
| 09-14 16:51 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0259999999 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 07:42 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.036 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 03:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 03:19 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.0290962493 | $50.98 |
| 09-12 09:09 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.025 | $23.70 |
| 09-12 09:00 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0242717481 | $19.52 |
| 08-22 11:18 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $9.00 |