scottilicious
0x000d257d2dc7616feaef4ae0f14600fdf50a758e
- Realised P&L
- $1.56M
- Volume
- $72.91M
- Markets traded
- 1,269
- Open portfolio
- $555.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,269
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.1kat 0.918Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
- +$49.1kat 0.932Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$47.6kat 0.750Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?
- +$47.5kat 0.848Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
- +$47.4kat 0.521Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:16 | Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections? | BUY | 0.89 | $569.58 |
| 09-16 22:44 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $2.1k |
| 09-16 22:43 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.7597595389 | $13.7k |
| 09-16 01:34 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.049 | $294.00 |
| 09-15 21:32 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 15:32 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2575462375 | $2.8k |
| 09-15 05:23 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.3470934066 | $101.07 |
| 09-15 05:22 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.351645876 | $199.36 |
| 09-15 05:17 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.041 | $205.00 |
| 09-11 21:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $0.66 |
| 09-11 21:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.966 | $1.7k |
| 09-11 21:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.9745643713 | $49.3k |
| 09-10 18:30 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9819921667 | $15.2k |
| 09-10 18:29 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7983543614 | $2.0k |
| 09-10 18:28 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.3432580964 | $1.2k |