PolyBot

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Traders

scottilicious

0x000d257d2dc7616feaef4ae0f14600fdf50a758e

Realised P&L
$1.56M
Volume
$72.91M
Markets traded
1,269
Open portfolio
$555.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,269
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8340.895$232.7k+$15.9k
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9650.989$128.4k+$3.0k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.9500.992$36.2k+$1.5k
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7930.835$35.4k+$1.8k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8770.769$24.4k$3.4k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8910.770$17.7k$2.8k
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8800.895$16.4k+$274.49
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3720.408$11.9k+$1.1k
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.7970.870$8.1k+$683.16
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.6920.961$7.0k+$1.9k
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No0.6600.915$6.5k+$1.8k
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · No0.9100.925$4.6k+$75.00
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0190.035$4.3k+$2.0k
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8850.825$3.7k$268.98
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3000.165$3.3k$2.7k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 07:16Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?BUY0.89$569.58
09-16 22:44Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.19$2.1k
09-16 22:43Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.7597595389$13.7k
09-16 01:34Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.049$294.00
09-15 21:32Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.001$100.00
09-15 15:32Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.2575462375$2.8k
09-15 05:23Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.3470934066$101.07
09-15 05:22Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.351645876$199.36
09-15 05:17Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.041$205.00
09-11 21:08US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.79$0.66
09-11 21:07US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?SELL0.966$1.7k
09-11 21:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?SELL0.9745643713$49.3k
09-10 18:30Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9819921667$15.2k
09-10 18:29Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7983543614$2.0k
09-10 18:28Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.3432580964$1.2k