JasonD1223
0x000001fa0041a349bc3d4ba2537dc2efd398ee88
- Realised P&L
- $-0.05
- Volume
- $37.28
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $31.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.981 | 0.981 | $6.00 | −$0.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.745 | $5.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.962 | 0.962 | $5.00 | −$0.00 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.936 | 0.935 | $4.99 | −$0.01 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.955 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.561 | 0.569 | $3.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · Yes | 0.958 | 0.963 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.972 | 0.965 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 17:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 17:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.00 |
| 09-18 17:22 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5609999562 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 17:12 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9359998847 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 17:10 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 17:08 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9809999922 | $6.00 |
| 09-18 12:17 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9719996073 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:56 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.9579993907 | $1.00 |