PolyBot

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Traders

JasonD1223

0x000001fa0041a349bc3d4ba2537dc2efd398ee88

Realised P&L
$-0.05
Volume
$37.28
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$31.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9810.981$6.00$0.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.7500.745$5.96$0.04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9620.962$5.00$0.00
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.9360.935$4.99$0.01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? · Yes0.9600.955$4.97$0.03
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5610.569$3.04+$0.04
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · Yes0.9580.963$1.00+$0.00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.9720.965$0.99$0.01

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 17:25US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?BUY0.96$5.00
09-18 17:25US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.75$6.00
09-18 17:22Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5609999562$3.00
09-18 17:12China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.9359998847$5.00
09-18 17:10Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.962$5.00
09-18 17:08Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.9809999922$6.00
09-18 12:17Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.9719996073$1.00
09-18 02:56Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.9579993907$1.00