Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?

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Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-08-16
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.39. down 0.09 over the period, from 0.48. Range 0.38 to 0.49. 19 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.39	20	20
0.40	99	119
0.41	30	149
0.42	30	179
0.50	30	209
0.51	80	289
0.52	65	354
0.86	50	404
0.87	13	416
0.90	350	766
0.93	205	972
0.94	250	1,222

Spread0.01Mid0.39

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.38	20	20
0.37	139	159
0.36	32	191
0.35	20	211
0.11	60	271
0.10	100	371
0.08	405	776
0.07	100	876
0.02	57	933
0.01	19	951

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.62	20	20
0.63	139	159
0.64	32	191
0.65	20	211
0.89	60	271
0.90	100	371
0.92	405	776
0.93	100	876
0.98	57	933
0.99	19	951

Spread0.01Mid0.61

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.61	20	20
0.60	99	119
0.59	30	149
0.58	30	179
0.50	30	209
0.49	80	289
0.48	65	354
0.14	50	404
0.13	13	416
0.10	350	766
0.07	205	972
0.06	250	1,222

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
itsjustcheddar	Yes	20
AJSV	Yes	20
vasiksim	Yes	10
0xa5ef…2966	No	30
0xcD510562e9C35251D1F57D2a80500ba7a11B6A52-1770683425827	No	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:43:34	BUY	No	0.49	20	$9.80
06:16:16	BUY	Yes	0.33	20	$6.60
05:45:52	BUY	No	0.28	5	$1.40
05:45:52	SELL	No	0.28	5	$1.40
05:44:13	BUY	Yes	0.28	10	$2.80
05:44:12	BUY	Yes	0.26	20	$5.20