PolyBot

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Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-06
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.021. down 0.008 over the period, from 0.029. Range 0.006 to 0.198. 158 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.024250250
0.025200450
0.026257707
0.027207914
0.02850964
0.0305501,514
0.036361,550
0.037101,560
0.039551,615
0.040201,635
0.044551,690
0.045501,740

Spread0.005Mid0.021

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.019320320
0.018305625
0.017110735
0.016205940
0.0152751,215
0.0142051,420
0.0122241,644
0.0114,0635,707
0.0102575,964
0.0081156,079
0.0078956,974
0.00626,38533,359

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.981320320
0.982305625
0.983110735
0.984205940
0.9852751,215
0.9862051,420
0.9882241,644
0.9894,0635,707
0.9902575,964
0.9921156,079
0.9938956,974
0.99426,38533,359

Spread0.005Mid0.978

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.976250250
0.975200450
0.974257707
0.973207914
0.97250964
0.9705501,514
0.964361,550
0.963101,560
0.961551,615
0.960201,635
0.956551,690
0.955501,740

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
fghsrthrhrshrsthYes5,000
AngeredbeesYes4,998
smalltimezzzYes4,713.43
LinaBell🦊Yes4,000
hirichzhouYes3,882.88
BitgodYes3,021.26
ElonurmomYes2,566.92
Mei-jiYes2,500
hulitest2025Yes2,381.38
shotsrYes1,500
sebyastiensYes1,500
CaprioDiLeoYes1,430.42
wakuwaku3Yes1,150.9
0xde0f…57c1Yes1,118.44
verywiseYes1,000
212octopusYes800
Kaiji123Yes797.84
bipbipbopYes759.74
EcnanifYes754.02
mcsgYes615

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:14:11BUYYes0.016999999859$1.00
18:12:56BUYYes0.016156$2.50
18:04:09BUYNo0.982053835610$10.00
17:11:02BUYYes0.02580$2.00
16:51:18BUYYes0.026300$7.80
16:23:11BUYYes0.026154$4.00
16:14:24SELLYes0.0202295042893$18.07
15:42:54BUYYes0.029103$3.00
15:41:27BUYYes0.0259999999115$3.00
14:53:54BUYYes0.025100$2.50
14:48:03BUYNo0.978864650$48.94
14:40:45BUYYes0.0236250$5.90
14:34:44SELLYes0.027100$2.70
14:33:11BUYYes0.027999999836$1.00
14:26:06BUYYes0.027999999836$1.00
14:05:03SELLYes0.0310$0.30
12:35:11BUYNo0.968999999310$10.00
11:12:51BUYYes0.037100$3.70
09:35:24BUYYes0.036999999632$1.17
08:38:27BUYYes0.032200$6.40
08:38:26BUYYes0.031230$7.13
08:25:35BUYYes0.029216$6.26
06:20:03SELLYes0.02443$1.03
05:52:03SELLYes0.035$0.15
05:42:20BUYYes0.030999999565$2.00