PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-04
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.001. down 0.007 over the period, from 0.008. Range 0.001 to 0.285. 158 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00140,14040,140
0.0032,81042,950
0.0068743,037
0.0093,30046,337
0.01024846,585
0.01215646,741
0.01910046,841
0.0204046,881
0.0304046,921
0.0404046,961
0.0481,65048,611
0.0504048,651

SpreadMid

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

SpreadMid

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99940,14040,140
0.9972,81042,950
0.9948743,037
0.9913,30046,337
0.99024846,585
0.98815646,741
0.98110046,841
0.9804046,881
0.9704046,921
0.9604046,961
0.9521,65048,611
0.9504048,651

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
SALMANKHANNYes21,290
smalltimezzzYes14,311.64
alohaaYes10,209.17
FablurouYes9,807.92
0xaea825a7eaafa49b59b61af8f376923dc1e4ffYes8,447.04
Kaiji123Yes6,861.34
hetaczYes5,000.01
LinaBell🦊Yes4,815.67
BitgodYes4,732.24
RickRockRickYes4,000
PrexpectYes4,000
ElonJailYes3,877.11
wakuwaku3Yes3,178.88
0x616757230CFe930B016C4cde0620f58F6edE4447-1777974223801Yes3,099.1
SugarinaYes3,000
0xd676535f347C3Be8A531bf08Ff1Bd417c530A859-1777974700203Yes2,811
orifcontexYes2,499.99
MilkTeaaYes2,267
winnerSpecterYes2,153
haha16Yes2,000

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:25:53SELLNo0.9992,000$1998.00
17:16:51BUYYes0.0011,000$1.00
11:35:17BUYNo0.99940$40.02
10:56:08BUYNo0.9996$5.99
10:50:02SELLNo0.998360$359.28
09:52:41BUYNo0.9995$5.00
09:47:21BUYNo0.99921$20.98
09:36:20BUYNo0.9996$6.00
08:56:32SELLYes0.001200$0.20
07:47:35SELLYes0.001400$0.40
07:39:39BUYNo0.9997$7.00
07:29:48BUYNo0.9995$5.00
07:28:29BUYNo0.9994$4.00
07:20:17BUYNo0.9991$1.25
07:05:26BUYNo0.9993$2.54
07:05:21BUYNo0.9992$1.86
07:05:20BUYNo0.9993$2.56
06:32:05BUYNo0.99910$10.00
06:16:42BUYNo0.9992$2.28
06:11:21BUYNo0.9992$1.81
06:11:17BUYNo0.9992$1.82
06:10:38BUYNo0.9993$3.48
06:09:51BUYNo0.9992$2.01
06:08:17SELLYes0.0011,600$1.60
06:03:29BUYYes0.002689$1.38