winnerSpecter
0x25b23e01a7d90e25871d1098841f25e856943b9e
- Realised P&L
- $11.7k
- Volume
- $3.75M
- Markets traded
- 6,412
- Open portfolio
- $9.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,412
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.6kat 0.016Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$7.4kat 0.125Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$6.5kat 0.016Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$3.7kat 0.125Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$3.3kat 0.083Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 10:54 | Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 09-29 10:53 | Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 09-29 10:53 | Will Sturm Graz win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 09-29 10:53 | Will Dinamo Zagreb win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.15 |
| 09-29 10:53 | Will Anderlecht win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 09-29 10:53 | Will Ferencvaros win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 09-29 10:53 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 09-29 10:53 | Will Sparta Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 09-29 10:53 | Will Celtic win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.15 |
| 09-29 10:52 | Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.20 |
| 09-29 10:52 | Will Red Bull Salzburg win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.15 |
| 09-29 10:52 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.0028 | $0.14 |
| 09-29 10:52 | Will Olympiacos win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.35 |
| 09-29 10:52 | Will Besiktas win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | SELL | 0.0247522 | $1.24 |
| 09-29 10:52 | Will Lyon win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.55 |