txp111.
0xaa7e5c893b23e264b9d11a7fe8e421d459ee0332
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $1.69M
- Markets traded
- 1,031
- Open portfolio
- $19.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,031
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.002Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.001Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
- +$956.40at 0.114Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$899.70at 0.031Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 United States?
- +$779.79at 0.034Exact Score: DR Congo 3 - 1 Uzbekistan?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.46 |
| 09-11 23:07 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0056665 | $11.33 |
| 08-22 21:11 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.044067093 | $28.98 |
| 08-20 16:03 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.3980503 | $79.61 |
| 08-20 14:51 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.369939 | $73.99 |
| 08-20 14:28 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.36379 | $86.22 |
| 08-20 11:14 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.2912360431 | $81.43 |
| 08-19 19:16 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.92 |
| 08-18 21:00 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.21 |
| 07-27 16:56 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 19:08 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3799999973 | $40.00 |
| 07-19 18:39 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.017 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 18:24 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.03 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 18:24 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0380000001 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 18:23 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.06 | $30.00 |