PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

txp111.

0xaa7e5c893b23e264b9d11a7fe8e421d459ee0332

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$1.69M
Markets traded
1,031
Open portfolio
$19.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,031
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$15.00+$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$4.00$4.00
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$0.75$2.25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.1730.000$0.00$80.00
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$40.00
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Colombia? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$30.00
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 Paraguay? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$4.89
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$25.00
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over0.4100.000$0.00$25.00
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Morocco? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$35.00
Exact Score: DR Congo 1 - 0 Uzbekistan? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$80.00
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Ghana? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$30.00
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Algeria? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$80.00
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$40.00
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$45.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 13:59Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$4.46
09-11 23:07Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?SELL0.0056665$11.33
08-22 21:11Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.044067093$28.98
08-20 16:03Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?SELL0.3980503$79.61
08-20 14:51Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?SELL0.369939$73.99
08-20 14:28Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?SELL0.36379$86.22
08-20 11:14Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?SELL0.2912360431$81.43
08-19 19:16Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?SELL0.001$1.92
08-18 21:00Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?SELL0.001$5.21
07-27 16:56Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?SELL0.001$5.00
07-19 19:08Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY0.3799999973$40.00
07-19 18:39Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.017$15.00
07-19 18:24Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.03$30.00
07-19 18:24Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0380000001$30.00
07-19 18:23Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.06$30.00