Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be under 5.3?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-10-23
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.09 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.16 to 0.26. 15 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	309	309
0.18	167	476
0.19	20	496
0.20	306	802
0.23	174	977
0.24	172	1,148
0.25	109	1,257
0.26	180	1,437
0.27	14	1,451
0.30	100	1,551
0.31	60	1,611
0.46	460	2,071

Spread0.01Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	480	480
0.15	91	571
0.14	216	788
0.08	44	831
0.07	50	881
0.04	30	911
0.03	203	1,114
0.02	138	1,252
0.01	10	1,262

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	480	480
0.85	91	571
0.86	216	788
0.92	44	831
0.93	50	881
0.96	30	911
0.97	203	1,114
0.98	138	1,252
0.99	10	1,262

Spread0.01Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	309	309
0.82	167	476
0.81	20	496
0.80	306	802
0.77	174	977
0.76	172	1,148
0.75	109	1,257
0.74	180	1,437
0.73	14	1,451
0.70	100	1,551
0.69	60	1,611
0.54	460	2,071

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
ergodiclab	Yes	50
HellorHeaven	Yes	18.51
buyat89	Yes	10
szy10010	Yes	10
0xa5ef…2966	No	68.51
helicobite	No	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:42:11	BUY	No	0.84	7	$5.80
18:42:08	BUY	Yes	0.17	10	$1.70
18:42:08	BUY	No	0.84	28	$23.18
18:41:59	BUY	No	0.84	4	$3.37
05:16:56	SELL	Yes	0.15	60	$9.00
05:15:33	BUY	Yes	0.1633333333	30	$4.90
05:11:26	BUY	No	0.51	30	$15.30