0xfFFF6537
0xffff6537da5efd428cc09187f90cbd2e726d4413
- Realised P&L
- $61.1k
- Volume
- $12.87M
- Markets traded
- 7,084
- Open portfolio
- $308.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,084
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox | 0.797 | 1.000 | $170.86 | +$34.52 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.696 | 0.858 | $102.90 | +$19.42 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Boston Red Sox | 0.283 | 0.142 | $22.98 | −$22.63 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.580 | 0.575 | $11.50 | −$0.10 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox · Detroit Tigers | 0.236 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$36.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.3kat 0.366Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?
- +$17.2kat 0.318Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
- +$7.0kat 0.497Flyers vs. Hurricanes
- +$4.3kat 0.390Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils
- +$3.9kat 0.018Spurs vs. Clippers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 12:11 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 06-17 03:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 06-17 03:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 06-14 03:24 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 06-14 03:24 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 06-14 03:24 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 06-14 03:24 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 06-14 03:19 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 06-14 03:18 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 06-14 03:17 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 06-14 03:17 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 06-14 03:17 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.44 | $2.70 |
| 06-14 03:16 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 06-14 03:16 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.32 | $9.60 |
| 06-14 03:16 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.43 | $21.50 |