0xfFFDa9cD45649d83e28B9ba351820B50D42Ccb32-1762568319714
0xfffda9cd45649d83e28b9ba351820b50d42ccb32
- Realised P&L
- $-0.01
- Volume
- $399.23
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $6.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $6.10 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.03at 0.996Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
- +$0.02at 0.996Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
- +$0.02at 0.997Will Israel win Miss Universe 2025?
- +$0.02at 0.997Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.997Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 01:48 | Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.10 |
| 07-29 23:36 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.59 |
| 07-26 03:08 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.60 |
| 07-22 19:19 | Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $6.19 |
| 07-20 05:53 | Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $6.20 |
| 07-11 12:59 | Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $5.10 |
| 07-05 16:21 | Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999522 | $5.40 |
| 06-27 09:17 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.996 | $3.70 |
| 06-27 09:16 | Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.995 | $9.67 |
| 06-26 13:52 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.70 |
| 06-24 09:49 | Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.70 |
| 06-23 07:56 | Will Olga Danilović be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | SELL | 0.997 | $3.79 |
| 06-23 07:55 | Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.50 |
| 06-23 07:55 | Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.80 |
| 06-20 19:32 | Will Olga Danilović be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.80 |