e37f
0xfff7adaab313c0ff0582e02ce91f14db1f778028
- Realised P&L
- $-19.4k
- Volume
- $372.7k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $19.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.001 | $19.17 | −$20.3k |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds · Over | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.59 |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds · Over | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.80 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.968 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$511.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$953.45at 0.890Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?
- +$350.24at 0.991Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)
- +$30.83at 0.950Palermo: Fiona Ferro vs Erika Andreeva
- +$25.56at 0.989US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$8.49at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 13:59 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.32 | $12.80 |
| 08-01 13:52 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.72 | $21.59 |
| 07-15 02:47 | Spread: Argentina (-3.5) | BUY | 0.991 | $67.89 |
| 07-10 02:45 | Spread: Belgium (-2.5) | BUY | 0.986 | $66.98 |
| 06-24 00:32 | Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 22:58 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.89 | $42.4k |
| 06-11 02:31 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $511.03 |
| 06-06 06:26 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $505.91 |
| 06-02 17:51 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $485.47 |
| 05-19 09:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $484.98 |
| 05-16 09:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $505.10 |
| 05-12 08:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $504.63 |
| 05-04 06:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $504.17 |
| 04-29 14:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY | 0.9972086059 | $501.51 |
| 04-14 04:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $502.37 |