0xfFF469BC5f5B29781B2F79bc611a67Bd53bD5866-1733762470924
0xfff469bc5f5b29781b2f79bc611a67bd53bd5866
- Realised P&L
- $-1.35
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $55.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 20? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $55.40 | +$0.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? · No | 0.996 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.42at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$26.25at 0.747Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 13-19?
- +$20.94at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$19.76at 0.749Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 15?
- +$18.28at 0.749Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 14:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.997 | $55.40 |
| 09-12 18:35 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $11.00 |
| 09-02 20:07 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.00 |
| 08-31 18:14 | Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next? | BUY | 0.997 | $30.70 |
| 08-30 06:50 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in August? | BUY | 0.997 | $52.50 |
| 08-29 13:57 | Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | BUY | 0.997 | $16.00 |
| 08-24 15:36 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $37.30 |
| 08-24 11:04 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999723 | $28.00 |
| 08-20 06:09 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.00 |
| 08-18 16:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 19? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $25.80 |
| 08-17 18:59 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $26.00 |
| 08-14 01:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 14? | BUY | 0.996 | $24.60 |
| 08-13 21:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.00 |
| 08-12 04:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.10 |
| 08-10 18:17 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.9934861254 | $29.00 |