PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xffED78a922860b6109Cfd2CB1f1448Be3D93e122-1760067226209

0xffed78a922860b6109cfd2cb1f1448be3d93e122

Realised P&L
$-336.20
Volume
$51.8k
Markets traded
578
Open portfolio
$3.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded578
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.0230.079$3.43+$2.43
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0350.001$0.01$0.99
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on February 10? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.99
Will $MARU reach $600M in Q1? · No0.0390.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in March 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$0.92
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28? · No0.0230.000$0.00$1.00
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$1.00
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 12? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET · Down0.0270.000$0.00$9.90
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in March 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$1.00
Solana Up or Down - December 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.7400.000$0.00$4.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-06 00:22Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?BUY0.012$1.00
03-06 00:22Will Elon Musk post 1560-1599 tweets in April 2026?BUY0.0170000001$1.00
03-06 00:21Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?BUY0.016$1.00
03-03 23:22Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in April 2026?BUY0.0202668272$1.00
03-03 23:22Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in April 2026?BUY0.003$1.00
03-03 23:21Will Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in April 2026?BUY0.0188361164$1.00
03-03 23:21Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in April 2026?BUY0.006771283$1.00
02-26 01:01Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.0055147059$1.25
02-15 22:52Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL0.296$7.78
02-15 03:25Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?BUY0.0039295433$1.00
02-15 03:25Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?BUY0.059999946$1.00
02-15 03:24Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?BUY0.0029457106$1.00
02-13 19:18Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?BUY0.007$0.91
02-13 19:18Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?BUY0.011$0.91
02-13 17:17Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?SELL0.147$4.41