PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xffe98C336531C4fA421aa54311Ed76c860D421f6-1774307295139

0xffe98c336531c4fa421aa54311ed76c860d421f6

Realised P&L
$-175.23
Volume
$23.5k
Markets traded
2,057
Open portfolio
$15.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,057
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration3.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 26? · Yes0.0200.055$2.75+$1.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 25? · Yes0.0240.042$1.78+$0.78
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 26? · Yes0.0200.020$1.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 26? · Yes0.0200.020$1.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 26? · Yes0.0110.011$0.98−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 26? · Yes0.0130.011$0.81−$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 25? · Yes0.0200.015$0.75−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 26? · Yes0.0200.010$0.50−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 26? · Yes0.0200.010$0.50−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 25? · Yes0.0200.010$0.50−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 73°F or below on September 25? · Yes0.0100.005$0.49−$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 25? · Yes0.0200.009$0.45−$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 26? · Yes0.0110.004$0.43−$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 26? · Yes0.0200.007$0.38−$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 26? · Yes0.0200.007$0.35−$0.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 06:23Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 26?BUY0.0107204691$1.00
09-25 05:08Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 26?BUY0.02$1.00
09-25 04:35Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 25?BUY0.02$1.00
09-25 03:51Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 26?BUY0.02$1.00
09-25 03:01Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 25?BUY0.01$1.00
09-25 02:31Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 26?BUY0.02$1.00
09-25 02:18Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 26?BUY0.02$1.00
09-25 02:15Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 26?BUY0.0135162533$1.00
09-25 01:42Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 26?BUY0.0105725009$1.00
09-25 01:38Will the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on September 25?BUY0.0247772261$1.00
09-25 00:51Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 26?BUY0.02$1.00
09-25 00:31Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 25?BUY0.02$1.00
09-25 00:24Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on September 26?BUY0.0180129377$1.00
09-24 23:56Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 26?BUY0.02$1.00
09-24 23:46Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 25?BUY0.02$1.00