gsdw4erasfe4q
0xffe59483fd6e98837db72409bef04b9e66b96555
- Realised P&L
- $-358.15
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $1.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.002 | $1.10 | −$3.30 |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 3? · Up | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$318.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.20at 0.985Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 31?
- +$0.17at 0.987Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 1?
- +$0.16at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 23?
- +$0.15at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 11?
- +$0.14at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 06:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 12? | BUY | 0.9989999626 | $12.52 |
| 08-12 06:44 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 12? | BUY | 0.9989999812 | $30.40 |
| 08-11 06:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.60 |
| 08-11 05:52 | Will XRP reach $1.15 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.40 |
| 08-10 07:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.9989999632 | $10.60 |
| 08-10 07:07 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 10? | BUY | 0.996 | $30.80 |
| 08-06 06:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.40 |
| 08-06 06:55 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 6? | BUY | 0.997 | $33.40 |
| 07-31 06:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.9839999399 | $13.50 |
| 07-31 06:54 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $31.40 |
| 07-30 07:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.9879999997 | $12.40 |
| 07-30 07:19 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.40 |
| 07-29 06:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $13.50 |
| 07-29 06:05 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9979999828 | $31.80 |
| 07-27 08:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.90 |