Rockyx11
0xffe4af6e298aacb55e5d77d19730a8d273974509
- Realised P&L
- $-188.83
- Volume
- $36.1k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $31.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.453 | 0.600 | $10.63 | +$2.61 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.038 | $6.58 | −$6.37 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 2000.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.041 | $4.54 | −$2.11 |
| Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.005 | $4.31 | −$13.55 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1900.00 and 1999.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.142 | $4.26 | +$3.78 |
| Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.013 | $1.25 | −$0.95 |
| Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.003 | $0.01 | −$0.03 |
| Molody · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.73 |
| ZywOo · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$300.89at 0.376Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
- +$0.64at 0.520Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
- +$-1.54at 0.197Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026?
- +$-7.62at 0.076ETH above $1,600 on Halloween?
- +$-63.96at 0.114Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 21:39 | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 23:18 | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.40 |
| 05-26 21:33 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | SELL | 0.074 | $13.88 |
| 05-25 07:18 | Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.032 | $5.18 |
| 05-06 17:50 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.75 |
| 05-06 17:49 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.189 | $1.43 |
| 05-06 17:47 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.084 | $1.12 |
| 05-04 14:09 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.4772004608 | $16.57 |
| 05-04 06:02 | Molody | BUY | 0.001 | $0.86 |
| 11-19 23:12 | Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? | SELL | 0.01 | $28.37 |
| 11-19 23:12 | Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? | SELL | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 11-19 19:49 | Will Sergio Massa win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 11-18 02:13 | Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? | BUY | 0.42 | $84.00 |
| 11-16 20:38 | Will Sergio Massa win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? | BUY | 0.15 | $357.00 |
| 11-16 20:21 | Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? | BUY | 0.46 | $136.00 |