0xffe027765d120824cd2bb1f7229f0e93c6c8178f
0xffe027765d120824cd2bb1f7229f0e93c6c8178f
- Realised P&L
- $14.72
- Volume
- $405.48
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $15.66
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.640 | 0.983 | $2.61 | +$0.91 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 1.000 | $2.58 | +$0.88 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.964 | $2.48 | +$0.78 |
| Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.495 | $2.10 | +$0.40 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.745 | $1.78 | +$0.08 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.755 | $1.60 | −$0.10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.165 | $1.34 | −$0.36 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.440 | $1.05 | −$0.65 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.015 | $0.11 | −$1.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.33at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$5.33at 0.247Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?
- +$4.78at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$4.53at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
- +$4.37at 0.280Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 02:35 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999374 | $1.70 |
| 09-20 16:14 | Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.70 |
| 09-20 07:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999374 | $1.70 |
| 09-19 23:25 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.70 |
| 09-19 11:10 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6599998913 | $1.70 |
| 09-19 03:03 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998913 | $1.70 |
| 09-18 18:28 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999765 | $1.70 |
| 09-18 05:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.2799999802 | $1.70 |
| 09-17 21:51 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.70 |
| 09-17 21:48 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998349 | $1.70 |
| 09-17 13:45 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999285 | $1.70 |
| 09-17 04:52 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.70 |
| 09-16 07:48 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4799999548 | $1.70 |
| 09-15 23:48 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999633 | $1.70 |
| 09-15 15:34 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.2599999816 | $1.70 |