fm40
0xffd8215fd39c23ec043ee9f3633fdbd02c97e336
- Realised P&L
- $-255.72
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $543.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5 · Under | 0.560 | 0.780 | $208.93 | +$58.93 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) · Chiefs | 0.470 | 0.575 | $183.51 | +$33.51 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders · Commanders | 0.700 | 0.705 | $151.06 | +$1.07 |
| Cardinals vs. Rams · Rams | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
| Patriots vs. Bills · Bills | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Magic vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
| Clemson vs. California · California | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) · Nuggets | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets · Nuggets | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5 · Under | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Spread: Bulls (-6.5) · Bucks | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$129.99 |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) · Suns | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5 · Under | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Heat vs. Hornets · Heat | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
| 76ers vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$135.29at 0.490Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5
- +$113.16at 0.570Thunder vs. Rockets
- +$104.23at 0.590Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- +$98.07at 0.570Pacers vs. Pelicans
- +$98.07at 0.570Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:03 | Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5 | BUY | 0.5599999997 | $150.00 |
| 11-01 20:07 | Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $150.00 |
| 11-01 17:54 | Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.5499999995 | $150.00 |
| 11-01 00:10 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.8299999998 | $150.00 |
| 10-31 18:58 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.5699999994 | $150.00 |
| 10-30 18:52 | Clippers vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.7099999988 | $150.00 |
| 10-28 18:59 | 76ers vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.6999999995 | $150.00 |
| 10-27 19:32 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.53 | $150.00 |
| 10-27 19:20 | Pistons vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.61 | $150.00 |
| 10-27 01:56 | Warriors vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.71 | $150.00 |
| 10-26 19:24 | Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.63 | $150.00 |
| 10-26 19:18 | Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $150.00 |
| 10-25 17:27 | Pacers vs. Nets | BUY | 0.69 | $129.99 |
| 10-25 17:16 | Broncos vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.68 | $130.00 |
| 10-25 17:11 | Magic vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.72 | $130.00 |