PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

yyeeaahh

0xffd43f09a08d91ff785806431c2939e4e42581dc

Realised P&L
$169.04
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
175
Open portfolio
$40.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded175
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18? · No0.6200.999$24.16+$9.16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 21? · No0.6300.640$15.30+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? · No0.4000.015$0.56$14.44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19? · No0.7000.001$0.01$15.04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18? · No0.6400.000$0.00$15.04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 8? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9? · No0.7000.000$0.00$15.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13? · No0.5800.000$0.00$15.02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12? · No0.6400.000$0.00$15.04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 21? · No0.7000.000$0.00$15.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10? · No0.6300.000$0.00$15.06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 11? · No0.6500.000$0.00$15.01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 3? · No0.7000.000$0.00$15.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 10? · No0.6500.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 05:02Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15?BUY0.5192407426$15.00
09-15 03:46Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 15?BUY0.3075396734$10.00
09-15 03:44Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?BUY0.5699999886$15.00
09-09 03:45Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 9?BUY0.4594766977$15.00
09-09 00:32Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 10?BUY0.649999987$15.00
09-06 10:52Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 7?BUY0.64$15.00
09-05 03:35Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 6?BUY0.6299999903$15.00
09-03 11:25Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 5?BUY0.55$15.02
09-01 04:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?BUY0.1099999521$2.00
08-27 13:18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?BUY0.64$15.00
08-27 12:38Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 28?BUY0.8599999989$15.00
08-25 14:28Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 27?BUY0.64$15.04
08-19 12:33Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 20?BUY0.8156498573$15.00
08-16 05:25Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 16?BUY0.8199999923$15.00
08-16 05:21Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 17?BUY0.63$15.06