yyeeaahh
0xffd43f09a08d91ff785806431c2939e4e42581dc
- Realised P&L
- $169.04
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $40.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.66at 0.870Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- +$24.28at 0.966Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
- +$18.50at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?
- +$17.65at 0.850Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
- +$17.24at 0.472Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.5192407426 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 03:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.3075396734 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $15.00 |
| 09-09 03:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.4594766977 | $15.00 |
| 09-09 00:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.649999987 | $15.00 |
| 09-06 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.00 |
| 09-05 03:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.6299999903 | $15.00 |
| 09-03 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.55 | $15.02 |
| 09-01 04:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 08-27 13:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.00 |
| 08-27 12:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 28? | BUY | 0.8599999989 | $15.00 |
| 08-25 14:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.04 |
| 08-19 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.8156498573 | $15.00 |
| 08-16 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.8199999923 | $15.00 |
| 08-16 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.63 | $15.06 |