PolyBot

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Traders

Maragaravalhitiskelerson

0xffd0a1c4ef9ecf798cf5b62b861ab00559cc6b34

Realised P&L
$-12.4k
Volume
$208.6k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0990.025$773.48$2.3k
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1160.038$622.68$1.3k
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1140.029$420.86$1.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-24 17:30US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.73$2.8k
05-05 03:28Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.076090493$8.77
05-05 03:27Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$48.20
05-05 03:27Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$672.73
04-08 13:26Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1165454122$41.29
04-08 04:58US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.004$6.29
04-08 01:01US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.005$10.00
04-08 00:42US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.007$25.00
04-08 00:03US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.0139991783$100.00
03-23 13:37Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999999$819.40
03-23 13:36Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.0792312743$819.40
03-21 01:49Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.18303193$1.8k
03-19 15:52Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.2882423167$350.71
03-19 15:51Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.27$714.53
03-19 15:49Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.27$135.00