0xffcedd661ec00207cb02d505d2baeb4e295f8243
0xffcedd661ec00207cb02d505d2baeb4e295f8243
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $190.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,638
- Open portfolio
- $128.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,638
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 21? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.845 | $84.50 | +$7.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 21? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.425 | $42.50 | −$16.50 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21? · No | 0.140 | 0.009 | $0.95 | −$13.05 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21? · No | 0.300 | 0.004 | $0.40 | −$29.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$217.25at 0.327Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
- +$199.00at 0.198Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9AM ET
- +$160.42at 0.198Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
- +$157.79at 0.458Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
- +$153.27at 0.728Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 20:54 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 10-20 20:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 21? | BUY | 0.77 | $22.33 |
| 10-20 18:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 10-20 18:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 10-20 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.8532 | $85.32 |
| 10-20 17:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $68.00 |
| 10-20 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.76 | $38.00 |
| 10-20 14:37 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? | SELL | 0.0151135 | $1.51 |
| 10-20 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | SELL | 0.022 | $2.20 |
| 10-20 07:32 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.55 | $55.00 |
| 10-19 18:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 10-19 15:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $127.50 |
| 10-19 14:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $20.19 |
| 10-19 14:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 14:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.914 | $45.70 |